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WorkSafeBC 2027 Provisional Rate Frozen - But Devil is in the Details (C&C #7)

WorkSafeBC 2027 Provisional Rate Frozen - But Devil is in the Details (C&C #7)
WorkSafeBC 2027 Provisional Rate Frozen - But Devil is in the Details (C&C #7)
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Today, ICBA -- as a member of the Employers' Forum, was briefed on provisional 2027 WorkSafeBC rates.

WorkSafeBC wants you looking at one number: 1.55%. The average base premium rate hasn't moved in a decade (and won't in 2027, according to today's briefing) , and the Board is calling that "rate stability." But let's look at what that number is hiding.

The real cost of running WorkSafeBC in 2027 isn't 1.55%. It's 1.88%. So how do they hold the line? They cover the gap with $677 million of surplus. That's your money, handed back and rebranded as a rate hold. Pile on the credits and it's $960 million more out the door in one year. Since 2019, $3.9 billion more. That's not stability. That's a savings account being drained to keep the sticker price down.

And WorkSafe knows the bill is coming. It's in their own forecast. The base rate holds at 1.55% through 2027, then climbs every year after. 1.59 in 2028. Then 1.64. Then 1.69. Then 1.74 by 2031.

Screenshot 2026-07-13 at 9.19.46 AM

The freeze has an expiry date.

And for many companies, it won't be a freeze at all. Forty-eight per cent of employers, about 132,000 firms, are getting a base-rate increase next year. Only 30% see a cut. The devil will be in the details: will construction be one of the industries that goup?

Why are costs climbing? Claims. Total claim and operating costs hit $4.3 billion in 2025, up from $3.6 billion two years earlier. A 21% jump. The duration numbers tell you why. The average claim now runs 77.5 days, up almost 11 days since 2021. Three-quarters of that increase comes from chronic-pain and psychological claims that take longer and cost far more to run. Meanwhile the funded level has slipped from 146% in 2022 to 139%. WorkSafe projects it sliding to 134% by 2030, walking straight toward its own 130% floor.

All of this "rate stability" leans on investment returns. WorkSafe earned 7.6% last year and beat its required return. That's the crutch holding rates flat. That will work right up until the markets don't - and no one can guarantee the future.

So look past the number they want you to see. Forget 1.55%. The number that matters is 1.88%, the real cost of the system, and it only goes one way from here. The 2027 rate hold isn't a gift. It looks like the last year before the bill comes due.

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